Queretaro vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Queretaro v Puebla — Team-Based Signals
Queretaro vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Puebla
MEK
2-0
HT 1-0
Queretaro
MEK
1-1
HT 1-0
Puebla
MEK
Queretaro 3-1 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics
Queretaro beat Puebla 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Queretaro made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Queretaro had 49% of the ball to Puebla's 51%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.62 to 0.89.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Queretaro and 1.00 for Puebla.
What was the final score of Queretaro vs Puebla?
Queretaro 3-1 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Queretaro vs Puebla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Queretaro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 37%, draw 27%, Puebla 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queretaro) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.