Citizen AA 1-0 3 Sing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.76
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.43
No
36%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Citizen AA win — 34%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
52%
-18.3pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.2pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
66%
-1.7pp
36%
BTTS No
34%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY 3 Sing EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
2.17/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.98
+12% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +73%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Citizen AA
1W-0D-2L
AWAY 3 Sing
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 3 Sing 3 Sing 0-2 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
03.03.2024 Citizen AA Citizen AA 0-2 HT 0-0 3 Sing 3 Sing HK2
05.11.2023 3 Sing 3 Sing 2-1 HT 1-1 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Citizen AA
1-0
AWAY 3 Sing
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Citizen AA vs 3 Sing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Citizen AA nicked a narrow win over 3 Sing 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Citizen AA made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Citizen AA had 57% of the ball to 3 Sing's 43%, shots finished 12-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, 3 Sing led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Citizen AA and 1.33 for 3 Sing.

What was the final score of Citizen AA vs 3 Sing?

Citizen AA 1-0 3 Sing in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Citizen AA vs 3 Sing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Citizen AA win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Citizen AA 34%, draw 33%, 3 Sing 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Citizen AA) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Citizen AA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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