Eastern District 1-0 WSE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
WSE win — 38%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.4pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern District EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY WSE EU Bookmakers 37%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-4% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern District
0W-0D-1L
AWAY WSE
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 4
22.12.2024 WSE 3-2 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern District
1-0
AWAY WSE
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eastern District vs WSE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern District edged past WSE 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Eastern District made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eastern District had 63% of the ball to WSE's 37%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Eastern District vs WSE?

Eastern District 1-0 WSE in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern District vs WSE?

Before kick-off our model rated an WSE win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Eastern District 36%, draw 26%, WSE 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (WSE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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