Resources Capital FC 1-3 Shatin SA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Shatin SA win — 43%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
35%
-7.8pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.4pp
43%
Away Win
43%
+0.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.8pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Resources Capital FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 48%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.00/2.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/2.46
-100% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -57%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Resources Capital FC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Shatin SA
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2024 Shatin SA Shatin SA 0-0 Resources Capital FC Resources Capital FC HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Resources Capital FC
1-3
AWAY Shatin SA
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Resources Capital FC vs Shatin SA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shatin SA beat Resources Capital FC 3-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shatin SA as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Resources Capital FC had 50% of the ball to Shatin SA's 50%, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Resources Capital FC vs Shatin SA?

Resources Capital FC 1-3 Shatin SA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Resources Capital FC vs Shatin SA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shatin SA win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Resources Capital FC 27%, draw 30%, Shatin SA 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shatin SA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shatin SA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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