Yuen Long vs Hoi King Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Yuen Long v Hoi King — Team-Based Signals
Yuen Long vs Hoi King Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Yuen Long
HK2
1-1
HT 1-1
Hoi King
HK2
0-5
HT 0-2
Yuen Long
HK2
Yuen Long 3-2 Hoi King — Actual Match Statistics
Yuen Long squeezed past Hoi King 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Hoi King at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Yuen Long had 60% of the ball to Hoi King's 40%, shots finished 22-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Yuen Long had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Yuen Long and 0.80 for Hoi King.
What was the final score of Yuen Long vs Hoi King?
Yuen Long 3-2 Hoi King in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Yuen Long vs Hoi King?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hoi King win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Yuen Long 32%, draw 26%, Hoi King 42%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hoi King) went the other way.