FK Leningradets 2-1 Tyumen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over Pick
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
42%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Leningradets The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tyumen The Market 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Leningradets
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Tyumen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 FK Leningradets FK Leningradets 1-0 HT 1-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
05.08.2023 Tyumen Tyumen 4-0 HT 1-0 FK Leningradets FK Leningradets RUS1
POST-MATCH FK Leningradets vs Tyumen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Leningradets edged past Tyumen 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Leningradets as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FK Leningradets and 2.00 for Tyumen.

What was the final score of FK Leningradets vs Tyumen?

FK Leningradets 2-1 Tyumen in the Friendlies on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Leningradets vs Tyumen?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Leningradets win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FK Leningradets 43%, draw 24%, Tyumen 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Leningradets), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Leningradets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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