05/02/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
SonderjyskE vs GAIS Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No Pick
51%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
35%
4-5
22%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 51% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
37%
Home Win
27%
25%
Draw
23%
38%
Away Win
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SonderjyskE v GAIS — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
SonderjyskE
The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
GAIS
The Market 55%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
43%
Ball Possession
57%
8
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
7
233 · 68%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
328 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
SonderjyskE vs GAIS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
SonderjyskE saw off GAIS 3-1.
Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; SonderjyskE found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of SonderjyskE vs GAIS?
SonderjyskE 3-1 GAIS in the Friendlies on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SonderjyskE vs GAIS?
Before kick-off our model rated an GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SonderjyskE 37%, draw 25%, GAIS 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (GAIS)
✗ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
5 Feb 2024