St. Gallen vs Lugano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Gallen v Lugano — Team-Based Signals
St. Gallen vs Lugano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
St. Gallen
İSV
1-2
HT 1-0
Lugano
İSV
St. Gallen 2-1 Lugano — Actual Match Statistics
St. Gallen squeezed past Lugano 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; St. Gallen found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, St. Gallen had 51% of the ball to Lugano's 49%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.13 to 0.66.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Gallen and 1.83 for Lugano.
What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Lugano?
St. Gallen 2-1 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Lugano?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 39%, draw 26%, Lugano 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Gallen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.