Real Esteli 0-1 Rancho Santana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 5 Feb 2026

📅05/02/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
78%
1.16
Draw
15%
7.13
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.33
No
49%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
53%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
78%
Home Win
82%
-4.0pp
15%
Draw
11%
+4.0pp
7%
Away Win
7%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
39%
+11.8pp
49%
BTTS No
61%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +21%
2.48/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.34
-2% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
446 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Esteli
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Rancho Santana
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
16 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2025 Real Esteli Real Esteli 4-0 HT 2-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
05.08.2025 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
04.08.2025 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 0-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
02.03.2025 Real Esteli Real Esteli 3-0 HT 2-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
19.01.2025 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 3-2 HT 0-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
06.10.2024 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 1-3 HT 0-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
POST-MATCH Real Esteli vs Rancho Santana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rancho Santana squeezed past Real Esteli 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Real Esteli at 78% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Real Esteli and 0.67 for Rancho Santana.

What was the final score of Real Esteli vs Rancho Santana?

Real Esteli 0-1 Rancho Santana in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 05/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Esteli vs Rancho Santana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Real Esteli 78%, draw 15%, Rancho Santana 7%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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