Saburtalo 2-0 Torpedo Kutaisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +12%
1.80/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.12
+37% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
20.10.2024 Saburtalo 3-0 HT 3-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
18.09.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GUR
27.04.2024 Saburtalo 3-3 HT 2-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
06.03.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-3 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
03.10.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 5-0 HT 3-0 Saburtalo GUR
08.08.2023 Saburtalo 1-3 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
2-0
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo saw off Torpedo Kutaisi 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Saburtalo had 47% of the ball to Torpedo Kutaisi's 53%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Saburtalo and 2.50 for Torpedo Kutaisi.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Saburtalo 2-0 Torpedo Kutaisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 42%, draw 27%, Torpedo Kutaisi 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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