Saburtalo 3-0 Torpedo Kutaisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.5pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.51/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.40
-20% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
277 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
18.09.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GUR
27.04.2024 Saburtalo 3-3 HT 2-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
06.03.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-3 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
03.10.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 5-0 HT 3-0 Saburtalo GUR
08.08.2023 Saburtalo 1-3 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
25.04.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 0-3 HT 0-2 Saburtalo GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
3-0
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo ran out comfortable winners over Torpedo Kutaisi 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Saburtalo had 38% of the ball to Torpedo Kutaisi's 62%, shots finished 14-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Saburtalo and 2.50 for Torpedo Kutaisi.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Saburtalo 3-0 Torpedo Kutaisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 48%, draw 25%, Torpedo Kutaisi 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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