Dila Gori 2-1 Samgurali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-14.2pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.2pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+9.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.1pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Samgurali EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.41/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.62
-30% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dila Gori
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Samgurali
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 0-1 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
27.04.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-1 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
07.03.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 0-1 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
28.11.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 1-0 HT 1-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
24.09.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 2-0 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
28.05.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 2-2 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dila Gori
2-1
AWAY Samgurali
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 6
FAQ Dila Gori vs Samgurali
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Dila Gori edged past Samgurali 2-1 in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 20 Oct 2024. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, Dila Gori had 60% of the ball to Samgurali's 40%, shots finished 22-5.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dila Gori have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dila Gori and 0.67 for Samgurali.

What was the final score of Dila Gori vs Samgurali?

Dila Gori 2-1 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dila Gori vs Samgurali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dila Gori win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dila Gori 47%, draw 27%, Samgurali 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dila Gori), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dila Gori) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUR More Georgia - Erovnuli Liga
20 Oct 2024
18:00 Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi Analysis →