Şanlıurfaspor 1-2 Adanaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
4.29
6+ Goals
7%
21.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 35% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.1pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -21%
1.16/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.19
-10% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 71%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
27.4 Crosses 17.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Adanaspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.61 xG 0.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
310 Passes 304
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2024 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-4 HT 0-2 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
21.01.2024 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 4-0 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
19.08.2023 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-2 HT 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
03.09.2016 Adanaspor Adanaspor 3-0 HT 3-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor HAZ
17.01.2016 Adanaspor Adanaspor 3-2 HT 1-1 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
16.08.2015 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
1-2
AWAY Adanaspor
0.85 xG 0.94
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
349 Passes 132
75% Pass Accuracy 55%
18 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Şanlıurfaspor vs Adanaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adanaspor squeezed past Şanlıurfaspor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Adanaspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Şanlıurfaspor had 66% of the ball to Adanaspor's 34%, shots finished 14-3, expected goals 0.85 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Şanlıurfaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Şanlıurfaspor and 1.33 for Adanaspor.

What was the final score of Şanlıurfaspor vs Adanaspor?

Şanlıurfaspor 1-2 Adanaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şanlıurfaspor vs Adanaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Şanlıurfaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Şanlıurfaspor 36%, draw 28%, Adanaspor 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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