Shrewsbury 0-1 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.42
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.51
6+ Goals
8%
24.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.7
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
15%
5.22
X/2
14%
5.91
X/X
10%
3.96
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
16%
4.49
2/X
9%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.02/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.94
-12% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
260 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 68%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
20.5 Crosses 18.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cambridge United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.20 xG 0.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
249 Passes 223
67% Pass Accuracy 63%
24 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 4-1 HT 2-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
03.02.2024 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-2 HT 1-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
14.10.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-1 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
21.01.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 5-1 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
26.12.2022 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-1 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
05.03.2022 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
0-1
AWAY Cambridge United
1.04 xG 0.97
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
254 Passes 249
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambridge United edged past Shrewsbury 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Cambridge United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 50% of the ball to Cambridge United's 50%, shots finished 4-11, expected goals 1.04 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambridge United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shrewsbury and 1.67 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Cambridge United?

Shrewsbury 0-1 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shrewsbury win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 36%, draw 28%, Cambridge United 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
5 Apr 2025
14:30 Reading vs Wycombe Wanderers Analysis →
14:30 Wrexham vs Burton Albion Analysis →
17:00 Peterborough United vs Northampton Town Analysis →
17:00 Rotherham United vs Blackpool Analysis →
17:00 Exeter City vs Stockport County Analysis →
17:00 Huddersfield Town vs Mansfield Town Analysis →