Basingstoke Town 0-1 Gosport Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
42%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
42%
Away Win
33%
+8.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.3pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gosport Borough EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.68/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.53
+10% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basingstoke Town
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Gosport Borough
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 3-3 HT 1-2 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
29.03.2024 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 3-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
16.08.2023 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 4-1 HT 0-1 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
31.08.2015 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İCON
16.12.2014 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 1-1 HT 1-0 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNFAT
POST-MATCH Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gosport Borough squeezed past Basingstoke Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gosport Borough as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gosport Borough led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Basingstoke Town and 1.80 for Gosport Borough.

What was the final score of Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough?

Basingstoke Town 0-1 Gosport Borough in the England - Non League Premier on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gosport Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Basingstoke Town 33%, draw 24%, Gosport Borough 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gosport Borough), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gosport Borough) ✓ Under 2.5
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