Gosport Borough 3-3 Basingstoke Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
12%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
46%
-5.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
54%
+5.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.9pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gosport Borough EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+14% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.86/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.71
+14% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gosport Borough
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Basingstoke Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.03.2024 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 3-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
16.08.2023 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 4-1 HT 0-1 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
31.08.2015 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İCON
16.12.2014 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 1-1 HT 1-0 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNFAT
POST-MATCH Gosport Borough vs Basingstoke Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gosport Borough and Basingstoke Town couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gosport Borough had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gosport Borough and 1.25 for Basingstoke Town.

What was the final score of Gosport Borough vs Basingstoke Town?

Gosport Borough 3-3 Basingstoke Town in the England - Non League Premier on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gosport Borough vs Basingstoke Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gosport Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gosport Borough 40%, draw 25%, Basingstoke Town 35%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gosport Borough) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gosport Borough) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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