Lancaster City 0-1 Whitby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.37/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.66
-15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lancaster City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Whitby Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
30.11.2024 Whitby Town Whitby Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
27.02.2024 Whitby Town Whitby Town 1-1 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
28.11.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-1 HT 0-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
25.02.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-0 HT 1-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
12.11.2022 Whitby Town Whitby Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
08.01.2022 Whitby Town Whitby Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Lancaster City vs Whitby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Whitby Town squeezed past Lancaster City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lancaster City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lancaster City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lancaster City and 1.00 for Whitby Town.

What was the final score of Lancaster City vs Whitby Town?

Lancaster City 0-1 Whitby Town in the England - Non League Premier on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lancaster City vs Whitby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lancaster City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lancaster City 44%, draw 26%, Whitby Town 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lancaster City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lancaster City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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