Winchester City 0-1 Plymouth Parkway — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
42%
-11.8pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.3pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.4pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winchester City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -19%
1.25/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.86
-18% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winchester City
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Plymouth Parkway
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 0-3 HT 0-3 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
21.03.2024 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 1-1 HT 1-1 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
03.10.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 1-1 HT 0-1 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
18.04.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 1-0 HT 1-0 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
18.02.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 2-1 HT 1-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Winchester City vs Plymouth Parkway
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Parkway squeezed past Winchester City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Plymouth Parkway found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Winchester City had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Winchester City and 0.80 for Plymouth Parkway.

What was the final score of Winchester City vs Plymouth Parkway?

Winchester City 0-1 Plymouth Parkway in the England - Non League Premier on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winchester City vs Plymouth Parkway?

Before kick-off our model rated an Plymouth Parkway win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Winchester City 30%, draw 30%, Plymouth Parkway 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plymouth Parkway) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Plymouth Parkway) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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