Plymouth Parkway 0-3 Winchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.1pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Winchester City EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
1.95/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.88
+20% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Parkway
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Winchester City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.03.2024 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 1-1 HT 1-1 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
03.10.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 1-1 HT 0-1 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
18.04.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 1-0 HT 1-0 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
18.02.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 2-1 HT 1-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Plymouth Parkway vs Winchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winchester City cruised past Plymouth Parkway 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Plymouth Parkway at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Plymouth Parkway and 1.00 for Winchester City.

What was the final score of Plymouth Parkway vs Winchester City?

Plymouth Parkway 0-3 Winchester City in the England - Non League Premier on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Parkway vs Winchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Parkway win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Parkway 41%, draw 24%, Winchester City 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Plymouth Parkway), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Plymouth Parkway) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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