Wuppertaler SV 4-1 Düren Merzenich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
59%
1.28
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Wuppertaler SV win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
74%
-14.7pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.9pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+10.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuppertaler SV EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Düren Merzenich EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.51/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.60
+7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
466 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuppertaler SV
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Düren Merzenich
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 0-0 HT 0-0 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV ALMBÖL
25.11.2023 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 1-1 HT 0-0 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV ALMBÖL
22.04.2023 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV 3-1 HT 0-0 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
29.10.2022 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 0-2 HT 0-2 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Wuppertaler SV vs Düren Merzenich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuppertaler SV ran out comfortable winners over Düren Merzenich 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wuppertaler SV as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Wuppertaler SV had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wuppertaler SV and 0.50 for Düren Merzenich.

What was the final score of Wuppertaler SV vs Düren Merzenich?

Wuppertaler SV 4-1 Düren Merzenich in the Germany - Regional League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuppertaler SV vs Düren Merzenich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wuppertaler SV win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Wuppertaler SV 59%, draw 20%, Düren Merzenich 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wuppertaler SV), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wuppertaler SV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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