Stirling Lions 2-2 Fremantle City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.4pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.6pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+10.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.4pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stirling Lions EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremantle City EU Bookmakers 25%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.21/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/2.15
-44% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stirling Lions
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Fremantle City
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
14.09.2024 Fremantle City Fremantle City 2-3 HT 1-1 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
13.07.2024 Fremantle City Fremantle City 2-2 HT 1-1 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVUSB
13.04.2024 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 4-2 HT 0-1 Fremantle City Fremantle City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Stirling Lions vs Fremantle City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stirling Lions and Fremantle City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Stirling Lions at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stirling Lions had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Stirling Lions and 2.00 for Fremantle City.

What was the final score of Stirling Lions vs Fremantle City?

Stirling Lions 2-2 Fremantle City in the Australia - National Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stirling Lions vs Fremantle City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stirling Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Stirling Lions 50%, draw 19%, Fremantle City 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stirling Lions) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stirling Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
5 Apr 2025
06:00 Lambton Jaffas vs Newcastle Olympic Analysis →
06:30 Devonport City vs Glenorchy Knights Analysis →
06:30 Clarence Zebras vs Launceston United Analysis →
07:00 O Connor Knights vs Canberra FC Analysis →
07:00 Western Sydney W. II vs Sydney II Analysis →
07:30 Para Hills Knights vs Croydon Kings Analysis →