Valentine Phoenix 1-5 Charlestown City Blues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
14%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
54%
Away Win
58%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlestown City Blues EU Bookmakers 62%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.06/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.47
-16% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +123%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
246 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valentine Phoenix
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Charlestown City Blues
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 1-2 HT 1-2 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
12.05.2024 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 3-0 HT 2-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
10.06.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-1 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
12.03.2023 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 3-0 HT 2-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
21.08.2022 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 0-4 HT 0-2 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
08.06.2022 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-4 HT 0-1 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
POST-MATCH Valentine Phoenix vs Charlestown City Blues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlestown City Blues swept aside Valentine Phoenix 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Charlestown City Blues as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlestown City Blues led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Valentine Phoenix and 2.17 for Charlestown City Blues.

What was the final score of Valentine Phoenix vs Charlestown City Blues?

Valentine Phoenix 1-5 Charlestown City Blues in the Australia - National Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valentine Phoenix vs Charlestown City Blues?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlestown City Blues win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Valentine Phoenix 23%, draw 22%, Charlestown City Blues 54%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlestown City Blues), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlestown City Blues) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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