VSK Arhus 3-2 Holbaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Holbaek EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.46/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.81
-4% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +94%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VSK Arhus
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Holbaek
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Holbaek Holbaek 2-0 HT 0-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
15.06.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 4-3 HT 3-2 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
14.04.2024 Holbaek Holbaek 1-1 HT 1-1 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
23.03.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 0-1 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
12.08.2023 Holbaek Holbaek 0-3 HT 0-3 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
20.03.2021 Holbaek Holbaek 0-2 HT 0-1 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN2
POST-MATCH VSK Arhus vs Holbaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VSK Arhus edged past Holbaek 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had VSK Arhus as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VSK Arhus had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for VSK Arhus and 1.17 for Holbaek.

What was the final score of VSK Arhus vs Holbaek?

VSK Arhus 3-2 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VSK Arhus vs Holbaek?

Before kick-off our model rated a VSK Arhus win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split VSK Arhus 43%, draw 26%, Holbaek 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VSK Arhus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VSK Arhus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN3 More Denmark - 3rd Division
5 Apr 2025
15:00 Sundby vs Silkeborg KFUM Analysis →
15:00 FA 2000 vs Naesby Analysis →
15:00 Bronshoj BK vs Odder Analysis →