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Llantwit Major vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Llantwit Major v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals
Llantwit Major vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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Caerau (Ely)
GALFAW
Llantwit Major edged past Caerau (Ely) 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Llantwit Major as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Caerau (Ely) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Llantwit Major and 3.00 for Caerau (Ely).
What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Caerau (Ely)?
Llantwit Major 1-0 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Caerau (Ely)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Llantwit Major win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 41%, draw 27%, Caerau (Ely) 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llantwit Major), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.