Katwijk 0-4 Jong Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
45%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.53
No OUR CALL
58%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
40%
-9.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
45%
Away Win
36%
+9.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
61%
-19.2pp
58%
BTTS No
39%
+19.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katwijk EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 40%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.61/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.59
-65% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katwijk
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Jong Almere City
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.67 xG 2.03
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
323 Passes 180
76% Pass Accuracy 63%
43 Box Touches 16
43 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 5
26.10.2024 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 1-2 HT 0-2 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
20.01.2024 Katwijk Katwijk 1-3 HT 1-1 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
29.08.2023 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 0-1 HT 0-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
30.03.2019 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 1-1 HT 1-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katwijk
0-4
AWAY Jong Almere City
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Katwijk vs Jong Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Almere City cruised past Katwijk 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jong Almere City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Katwijk had 54% of the ball to Jong Almere City's 46%, shots finished 7-24.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Katwijk had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Katwijk and 1.25 for Jong Almere City.

What was the final score of Katwijk vs Jong Almere City?

Katwijk 0-4 Jong Almere City in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katwijk vs Jong Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jong Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Katwijk 31%, draw 24%, Jong Almere City 45%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jong Almere City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jong Almere City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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