Zabbar St. Patrick 2-0 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 28%
-66% / -66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.00/2.00
-31% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -47%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2025 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MALTP
08.12.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-3 HT 0-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
22.09.2024 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 3-3 HT 1-1 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
2-0
AWAY Naxxar Lions
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zabbar St. Patrick vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zabbar St. Patrick got the better of Naxxar Lions 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zabbar St. Patrick as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zabbar St. Patrick had 37% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 63%, shots finished 4-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zabbar St. Patrick had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Zabbar St. Patrick and 1.33 for Naxxar Lions.

What was the final score of Zabbar St. Patrick vs Naxxar Lions?

Zabbar St. Patrick 2-0 Naxxar Lions in the MALTP on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zabbar St. Patrick win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zabbar St. Patrick 41%, draw 28%, Naxxar Lions 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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