Birkirkara 0-1 Hamrun Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
25%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-16% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2025 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 0-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MALTP
23.11.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-2 HT 0-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
19.10.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 3-2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
07.04.2024 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 2-0 HT 1-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
30.03.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 2-2 HT 1-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTAK
02.12.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 3-0 HT 1-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
0-1
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans edged past Birkirkara 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Birkirkara had 47% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 53%, shots finished 7-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Birkirkara and 1.33 for Hamrun Spartans.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans?

Birkirkara 0-1 Hamrun Spartans in the MALTP on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 32%, draw 27%, Hamrun Spartans 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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