Hodd 0-2 Kongsvinger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

Hodd
0-2 HT 0-1
Kongsvinger
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2025

Hodd vs Kongsvinger Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
11.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.19 — our 30% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.3pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.5pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hodd v Kongsvinger — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hodd EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 45%
+13% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.81/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.56
+26% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Hodd vs Kongsvinger Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hodd
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kongsvinger
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Hodd Hodd 2-1 HT 2-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
30.04.2023 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 0-3 HT 0-2 Hodd Hodd NOR1
12.09.2021 Hodd Hodd 0-0 HT 0-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR3
04.08.2021 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-0 HT 0-0 Hodd Hodd NOR3
07.08.2016 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 2-1 HT 2-0 Hodd Hodd NOR1
17.04.2016 Hodd Hodd 2-2 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
POST-MATCH Hodd vs Kongsvinger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger saw off Hodd 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kongsvinger as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hodd and 1.00 for Kongsvinger.

What was the final score of Hodd vs Kongsvinger?

Hodd 0-2 Kongsvinger in the Norway - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hodd vs Kongsvinger?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hodd 34%, draw 21%, Kongsvinger 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kongsvinger) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kongsvinger) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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