Skeid 1-3 Start — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

Skeid
1-3 HT 1-0
Start
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2025

Skeid vs Start Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.75
Over 2.5
55%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.76
No
41%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
29%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
16.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.76 — our 29% vs market 20.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
53%
-8.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
47%
+8.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.2pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Skeid v Start — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skeid EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Start EU Bookmakers 37%
-20% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -10%
1.24/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.37
-20% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 65%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5

Skeid vs Start Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skeid
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Start
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.08.2023 Start Start 3-0 HT 0-0 Skeid Skeid NOR1
13.05.2023 Skeid Skeid 1-4 HT 0-1 Start Start NOR1
09.10.2022 Skeid Skeid 3-2 HT 2-1 Start Start NOR1
25.04.2022 Start Start 3-2 HT 2-2 Skeid Skeid NOR1
22.08.2019 Skeid Skeid 1-1 HT 0-1 Start Start NOR1
02.06.2019 Start Start 2-0 HT 0-0 Skeid Skeid NOR1
POST-MATCH Skeid vs Start
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Start got the better of Skeid 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Start made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Start led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Skeid and 2.50 for Start.

What was the final score of Skeid vs Start?

Skeid 1-3 Start in the Norway - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skeid vs Start?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skeid win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Skeid 39%, draw 28%, Start 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Skeid) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Skeid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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