Lilleström 1-0 Odds BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.02
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Odds BK EU Bookmakers 25%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+3% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Odds BK
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.49 xG 1.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
431 Passes 332
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 23
31 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 Lilleström Lilleström 3-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
26.05.2024 Odds BK Odds BK 2-1 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
26.11.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 4-4 HT 1-3 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
12.05.2023 Odds BK Odds BK 0-1 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
30.10.2022 Lilleström Lilleström 0-2 HT 0-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
17.07.2022 Odds BK Odds BK 1-2 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström
1-0
AWAY Odds BK
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lilleström vs Odds BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström squeezed past Odds BK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lilleström had 61% of the ball to Odds BK's 39%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lilleström and 1.50 for Odds BK.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs Odds BK?

Lilleström 1-0 Odds BK in the Norway - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs Odds BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 48%, draw 27%, Odds BK 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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