Mjondalen 1-1 Raufoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.35
6+ Goals
11%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 31% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.6pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Raufoss EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.51/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.01
+3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjondalen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Raufoss
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Raufoss Raufoss 0-1 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
01.04.2024 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-1 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
07.10.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
07.06.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 0-4 HT 0-2 Raufoss Raufoss NOK
16.05.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 3-0 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
04.08.2022 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-2 HT 0-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjondalen
1-1
AWAY Raufoss
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mjondalen vs Raufoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjondalen and Raufoss shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Mjondalen had 49% of the ball to Raufoss's 51%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mjondalen and 1.17 for Raufoss.

What was the final score of Mjondalen vs Raufoss?

Mjondalen 1-1 Raufoss in the Norway - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjondalen vs Raufoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjondalen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mjondalen 38%, draw 27%, Raufoss 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mjondalen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mjondalen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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