Sogndal vs Aalesund Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sogndal v Aalesund — Team-Based Signals
Sogndal vs Aalesund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Sogndal
NOR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Aalesund
NOR1
2-3
HT 1-0
Aalesund
NOR1
Aalesund squeezed past Sogndal 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aalesund as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalesund led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sogndal and 1.67 for Aalesund.
What was the final score of Sogndal vs Aalesund?
Sogndal 3-4 Aalesund in the Norway - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sogndal vs Aalesund?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sogndal 27%, draw 27%, Aalesund 45%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalesund) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.