UTA Arad 1-0 Botosani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Botosani EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.36/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.40
+6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
16.6 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Botosani
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.98 xG 1.26
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
284 Passes 354
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.12.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-0 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
17.08.2024 Botosani Botosani 1-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
05.04.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-0 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
12.02.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-2 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
23.09.2023 Botosani Botosani 2-2 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
14.04.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-2 HT 0-2 Botosani Botosani ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
1-0
AWAY Botosani
2.11 xG 0.28
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
223 Passes 355
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs Botosani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad squeezed past Botosani 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; UTA Arad found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UTA Arad had 42% of the ball to Botosani's 58%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 2.11 to 0.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold UTA Arad's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for UTA Arad and 1.17 for Botosani.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs Botosani?

UTA Arad 1-0 Botosani in the Romania - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs Botosani?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTA Arad win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 36%, draw 30%, Botosani 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTA Arad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UTA Arad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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