Çorum FK 3-3 Esenler Erokspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.27
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 35% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.28
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
13%
5.2
X/2
9%
6.44
X/X
15%
4.61
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
18%
4.57
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.2pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.70/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.11
+4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
24.5 Crosses 11.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çorum FK
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Esenler Erokspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.91 xG 1.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
284 Passes 452
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 27
7 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.11.2024 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 2-2 HT 0-2 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
29.03.2023 Çorum FK Çorum FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor S2-B
19.10.2022 Çorum FK Çorum FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor TÜK
15.10.2022 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorum FK
3-3
AWAY Esenler Erokspor
1.91 xG 1.98
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
362 Passes 279
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 15
33 Crosses 9
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Çorum FK vs Esenler Erokspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK and Esenler Erokspor couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Çorum FK had 56% of the ball to Esenler Erokspor's 44%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.91 to 1.98.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Çorum FK and 1.25 for Esenler Erokspor.

What was the final score of Çorum FK vs Esenler Erokspor?

Çorum FK 3-3 Esenler Erokspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorum FK vs Esenler Erokspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Çorum FK 39%, draw 28%, Esenler Erokspor 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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