Sakaryaspor 2-1 Adanaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
67%
-11.5pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.2pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.3pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 16%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.17/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.70
-11% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 71%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
25.6 Crosses 14.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakaryaspor
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Adanaspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.45 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
354 Passes 276
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.11.2024 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
09.03.2024 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
21.10.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
16.10.2022 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 3-2 HT 1-2 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
24.11.2020 Adanaspor Adanaspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor TÜK
11.03.2012 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-3 HT 1-3 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakaryaspor
2-1
AWAY Adanaspor
3.03 xG 0.46
70% Ball Possession 30%
23 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
402 Passes 128
87% Pass Accuracy 66%
52 Box Touches 8
33 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sakaryaspor vs Adanaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakaryaspor nicked a narrow win over Adanaspor 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sakaryaspor as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sakaryaspor had 70% of the ball to Adanaspor's 30%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 3.03 to 0.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sakaryaspor's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sakaryaspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sakaryaspor and 1.33 for Adanaspor.

What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs Adanaspor?

Sakaryaspor 2-1 Adanaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs Adanaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 55%, draw 23%, Adanaspor 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sakaryaspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sakaryaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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