Fatih Karagümrük vs Erzurumspor FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fatih Karagümrük v Erzurumspor FK — Team-Based Signals
Fatih Karagümrük vs Erzurumspor FK Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
5-1
HT 3-0
Erzurumspor FK
TSL
1-3
HT 1-0
Fatih Karagümrük
T1L
0-1
HT 0-0
Erzurumspor FK
T1L
Fatih Karagümrük 1-0 Erzurumspor FK — Actual Match Statistics
Fatih Karagümrük squeezed past Erzurumspor FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Fatih Karagümrük as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 60% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 40%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.02 to 0.13.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 1.20 for Erzurumspor FK.
What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Erzurumspor FK?
Fatih Karagümrük 1-0 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Erzurumspor FK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 42%, draw 25%, Erzurumspor FK 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.