Shenzhen FC 5-2 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.14
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.35
6+ Goals
7%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 30% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.57
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
11%
12.85
X/1
12%
4.59
X/2
7%
7.9
X/X
14%
4.64
2/1
8%
24.35
2/2
21%
5.99
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
48%
-13.8pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+9.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.71/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.78
+9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.5 Crosses 21.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shenzhen FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.05 xG 1.63
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
314 Passes 377
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2025 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-2 HT 0-1 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
18.06.2025 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
03.08.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 4-1 HT 3-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
14.04.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
29.10.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
03.07.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen FC
5-2
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
3.04 xG 1.53
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
258 Passes 308
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 40
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shenzhen FC vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shenzhen FC ran out comfortable winners over Wuhan Three Towns 5-2. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Shenzhen FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shenzhen FC had 45% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 55%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 3.04 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shenzhen FC and 2.00 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Shenzhen FC vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Shenzhen FC 5-2 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen FC vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shenzhen FC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen FC 35%, draw 31%, Wuhan Three Towns 34%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shenzhen FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shenzhen FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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