Sparta Prag 2-0 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.3
Draw
15%
4.95
Away
11%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.5
2-3 Goals
35%
1.98
4-5 Goals
29%
2.46
6+ Goals
16%
5.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
72%
+2.0pp
15%
Draw
17%
-2.2pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
2.17/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.47
+9% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
418 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
35.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
22.2 Crosses 14.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Karvina
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.57 xG 1.59
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
301 Passes 248
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Karvina Karvina 2-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
15.02.2025 Karvina Karvina 2-3 HT 2-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
03.12.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-1 HT 3-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
10.02.2024 Karvina Karvina 0-3 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
27.08.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 3-1 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
04.12.2021 Karvina Karvina 1-2 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
2-0
AWAY Karvina
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag beat Karvina 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 58% of the ball to Karvina's 42%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.17 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Karvina?

Sparta Prag 2-0 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 74%, draw 15%, Karvina 11%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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