Deportivo Alaves 2-2 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.62
Over
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2.53
2-3
37%
1.73
4-5
17%
4.32
6+
7%
22.65
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.53 — our 39% vs market 32.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.96
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
13%
5.56
X/2
17%
5.57
X/X
13%
3.89
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
10%
3.98
2/X
9%
13.15
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna The Market 38%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.22 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.36
0.99 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.07
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Great Defensevs comparable teams Great
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
21.2 Crosses 20.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Osasuna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.40 xG 1.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
277 Passes 336
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.12.2025 Osasuna Osasuna 3-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
24.05.2025 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
08.12.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 2-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
10.08.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 1-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves HAZ
04.03.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
01.10.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-2 HT 0-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
2-2
AWAY Osasuna
2.07 xG 1.24
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
299 Passes 348
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW Deportivo Alaves vs Osasuna
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Deportivo Alaves and Osasuna shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

The preview numbers (36% / 29% / 35%) promised nothing between these sides, and the point apiece bears that out. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Deportivo Alaves had 48% of the ball to Osasuna's 52%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.07 to 1.24.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.67 for Osasuna.

Deportivo Alaves vs Osasuna Result & Final Score

Deportivo Alaves 2-2 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Deportivo Alaves vs Osasuna Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 36%, draw 29%, Osasuna 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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