Alcorcon vs Hercules Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alcorcon v Hercules — Team-Based Signals
Alcorcon vs Hercules Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Alcorcon
İS2
0-2
HT 0-0
Hercules
İS2
3-0
HT 2-0
Alcorcon
İS2
Alcorcon 4-0 Hercules — Actual Match Statistics
Alcorcon swept aside Hercules 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alcorcon as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Alcorcon had 56% of the ball to Hercules's 44%, shots finished 17-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hercules led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alcorcon and 1.50 for Hercules.
What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Hercules?
Alcorcon 4-0 Hercules in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Hercules?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 48%, draw 27%, Hercules 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alcorcon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.