Lugo 0-1 Osasuna II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.59
Over 2.5
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.16
No
46%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
4.51
6+ Goals
9%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
42%
+12.0pp
46%
BTTS No
58%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugo EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.46/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.50
-8% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugo
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Osasuna II
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.12.2025 Osasuna II Osasuna II 0-0 HT 0-0 Lugo Lugo İS3
02.02.2025 Lugo Lugo 3-1 HT 2-1 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
27.10.2024 Osasuna II Osasuna II 0-1 HT 0-1 Lugo Lugo İS3
11.02.2024 Lugo Lugo 1-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
08.10.2023 Osasuna II Osasuna II 1-2 HT 0-1 Lugo Lugo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugo
0-1
AWAY Osasuna II
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lugo vs Osasuna II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna II edged past Lugo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lugo at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Lugo had 55% of the ball to Osasuna II's 45%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lugo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Lugo and 0.60 for Osasuna II.

What was the final score of Lugo vs Osasuna II?

Lugo 0-1 Osasuna II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugo vs Osasuna II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lugo 51%, draw 26%, Osasuna II 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lugo) ✗ BTTS Yes
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