Real Murcia 2-1 Atletico Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
4.4
6+ Goals
8%
23.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.02/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.15
-21% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Murcia
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2025 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
07.03.2025 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
09.11.2024 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
02.01.2024 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Murcia
2-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Murcia vs Atletico Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia squeezed past Atletico Madrid II 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Real Murcia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Murcia had 42% of the ball to Atletico Madrid II's 58%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid II led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Murcia and 1.25 for Atletico Madrid II.

What was the final score of Real Murcia vs Atletico Madrid II?

Real Murcia 2-1 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Murcia vs Atletico Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Murcia 34%, draw 28%, Atletico Madrid II 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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