Lugo 3-1 Osasuna II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.54
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugo EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +19%
1.19/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/2.23
+0% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses 18.0
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugo
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Osasuna II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 Osasuna II Osasuna II 0-1 HT 0-1 Lugo Lugo İS3
11.02.2024 Lugo Lugo 1-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
08.10.2023 Osasuna II Osasuna II 1-2 HT 0-1 Lugo Lugo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugo
3-1
AWAY Osasuna II
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lugo vs Osasuna II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugo beat Osasuna II 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lugo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lugo had 54% of the ball to Osasuna II's 46%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lugo had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lugo and 0.67 for Osasuna II.

What was the final score of Lugo vs Osasuna II?

Lugo 3-1 Osasuna II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugo vs Osasuna II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lugo 46%, draw 28%, Osasuna II 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lugo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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