Unionistas 1-1 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
5.4
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unionistas EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 36%
+6% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +5%
1.57/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.73
+36% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +57%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 9.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unionistas
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Ponferradina
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.09.2024 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-0 HT 0-0 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
10.02.2024 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-1 HT 1-0 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
18.11.2023 Unionistas Unionistas 0-1 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
POST-MATCH Unionistas vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unionistas and Ponferradina couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ponferradina led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Unionistas and 1.00 for Ponferradina.

What was the final score of Unionistas vs Ponferradina?

Unionistas 1-1 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unionistas vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Unionistas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Unionistas 38%, draw 28%, Ponferradina 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Unionistas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Unionistas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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