Ceuta 2-1 Atletico Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.34
6+ Goals
8%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceuta EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 29%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
1.88/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.95
+35% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceuta
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
06.10.2024 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 1-1 HT 1-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
18.05.2024 Ceuta Ceuta 4-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
10.09.2023 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 1-3 HT 0-2 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
POST-MATCH Ceuta vs Atletico Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta nicked a narrow win over Atletico Madrid II 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ceuta as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ceuta had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Ceuta and 0.67 for Atletico Madrid II.

What was the final score of Ceuta vs Atletico Madrid II?

Ceuta 2-1 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Atletico Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 42%, draw 26%, Atletico Madrid II 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceuta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ceuta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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