Barakaldo 0-2 Real Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.16
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 25% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Union EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -24%
1.63/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.73
+1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 9.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barakaldo
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Real Union
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.10.2024 Real Union Real Union 1-1 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
13.02.2021 Barakaldo Barakaldo 3-0 HT 1-0 Real Union Real Union İS3
15.11.2020 Real Union Real Union 2-1 HT 0-0 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
08.12.2019 Barakaldo Barakaldo 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Union Real Union İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barakaldo
0-2
AWAY Real Union
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barakaldo vs Real Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Union saw off Barakaldo 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Barakaldo at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Barakaldo had 60% of the ball to Real Union's 40%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Barakaldo had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Barakaldo and 1.00 for Real Union.

What was the final score of Barakaldo vs Real Union?

Barakaldo 0-2 Real Union in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barakaldo vs Real Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Barakaldo 49%, draw 26%, Real Union 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Barakaldo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barakaldo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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