Amorebieta 3-0 Arenteiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.46
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.27
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 35% vs market 32.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.27/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.65
+21% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +56%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
190 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amorebieta
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Arenteiro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
6 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Arenteiro Arenteiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amorebieta
3-0
AWAY Arenteiro
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amorebieta vs Arenteiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amorebieta swept aside Arenteiro 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Amorebieta made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Amorebieta had 48% of the ball to Arenteiro's 52%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Amorebieta vs Arenteiro?

Amorebieta 3-0 Arenteiro in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amorebieta vs Arenteiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amorebieta win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Amorebieta 35%, draw 30%, Arenteiro 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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