Hercules 2-0 Alcorcon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.95
6+ Goals
8%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 31% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-2.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hercules EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.32/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.55
-5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hercules
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Alcorcon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Alcorcon Alcorcon 4-1 HT 1-1 Hercules Hercules İS3
17.05.2014 Hercules Hercules 1-2 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
14.12.2013 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-2 HT 0-0 Hercules Hercules İS2
02.02.2013 Hercules Hercules 3-0 HT 2-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
02.09.2012 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-0 HT 1-0 Hercules Hercules İS2
10.06.2012 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-0 HT 0-0 Hercules Hercules İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hercules
2-0
AWAY Alcorcon
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hercules vs Alcorcon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hercules got the better of Alcorcon 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hercules as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Hercules had 54% of the ball to Alcorcon's 46%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alcorcon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hercules and 1.17 for Alcorcon.

What was the final score of Hercules vs Alcorcon?

Hercules 2-0 Alcorcon in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hercules vs Alcorcon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hercules win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hercules 47%, draw 29%, Alcorcon 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hercules), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hercules) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
27 Apr 2025
13:00 Sestao River vs Ourense CF Analysis →
13:00 Gimnastica Segoviana vs Barakaldo Analysis →
13:00 Real Madrid II vs Ceuta Analysis →
13:00 Sevilla II vs Real Betis II Analysis →
16:30 Tarazona vs Ponferradina Analysis →
16:30 Merida AD vs Antequera Analysis →