Merida AD 3-0 Antequera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.09
6+ Goals
11%
20.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Antequera EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +20%
1.40/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.17
+11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
329 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merida AD
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Antequera
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.10.2024 Antequera Antequera 1-1 HT 0-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
04.02.2024 Antequera Antequera 2-2 HT 1-1 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
07.10.2023 Merida AD Merida AD 0-1 HT 0-1 Antequera Antequera İS3
03.04.2022 Merida AD Merida AD 1-1 HT 0-1 Antequera Antequera İS4
14.11.2021 Antequera Antequera 0-2 HT 0-2 Merida AD Merida AD İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
3-0
AWAY Antequera
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs Antequera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD swept aside Antequera 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Merida AD found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Merida AD had 41% of the ball to Antequera's 59%, shots finished 10-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Merida AD and 1.00 for Antequera.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs Antequera?

Merida AD 3-0 Antequera in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Antequera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 39%, draw 27%, Antequera 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merida AD) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Merida AD) ✗ Under 2.5
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