Sestao River 2-2 Ourense CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.3
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestao River EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.22/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.39
-12% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestao River
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ourense CF
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
15.12.2024 Ourense CF Ourense CF 0-0 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestao River
2-2
AWAY Ourense CF
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sestao River vs Ourense CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestao River and Ourense CF couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sestao River had 47% of the ball to Ourense CF's 53%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Sestao River vs Ourense CF?

Sestao River 2-2 Ourense CF in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Ourense CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 39%, draw 27%, Ourense CF 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sestao River) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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